November 15, 2022

House Republicans hold leadership elections today while awaiting full 218 seat majority

AP is reporting this morning that, “Republicans were on the cusp of retaking control of the House late Monday, just one victory shy of the 218 seats the party needs to secure a majority, narrowing the path for Democrats to keep the chamber and raising the prospect of a divided government in Washington.”  Senate Democrats have secured their majority regardless of the outcome of the Georgia Senate runoff on December 6th between Sen. Ralph Warnock and Hershel Walker.

Read More

November 9, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: The Morning After

The 2022 midterms went pretty much as all the analysts expected … NOT.  The final results are not in, but a few things seem clear

  • Congress will remain very closely divided
  • Florida moves from a purple to red state
  • Democrats outperformed history in midterm elections
Read more

November 8, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: Election Day 2022

There is not much left to say – all the theories and predictions can be better assessed tomorrow.  There’s not much left to do.  Candidates have special routines and superstitions for election day.  Barack Obama famously liked to play basketball.  Campaign staff settle in to begin pouring over exit polls beginning midafternoon.  Golf courses in the Washington area are packed today with lobbyists, politicos and congressional staff who need to kill time before the results begin trickling in.

Read more

November 7, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: Closing time for the 2022 Midterms

Almost there.  Several billion dollars spent on the midterm elections.  Candidates and surrogates’ vocal cords shot.  Campaign staff living on adrenaline and caffeine.   Voters exhausted with all the TV ads but ready to vote – voter enthusiasm in both parties is high. 

Read more

November 4, 2022

What to Look for in the Mid-term Elections

Four days to go.  As America heads into the final weekend before the midterms we can begin to speculate about what it means for the country.  Here are a few key questions that the election will (likely/hopefully) provide some answers for.

Read more

November 3, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: The 2022 Race for the U.S. Senate

Five days to go.  The U.S. Senate is currently controlled by the Democrats, but the partisan mix is 50-50.  Democrats control the Senate because Kamala Harris as Vice President is president of the Senate and breaks the tie.  That alone makes the 2022 midterm elections important – one net seat pick up for Republicans and the majority changes hands.  Elections for senators are staggered so only roughly one-third of the Senate is up for election in any one cycle.  

Read more

November 2, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: The 2022 Race for the House of Representatives

Six days to go. Elections for the House of Representatives are unique. All 435 seats are up for election. In the Senate, only about one-third of the body is up for election at any one time. The House is a national election, like the presidential election. At the same time, there are 435 separate elections – with candidate quality, experience, and fitting a particular constituency all acting as important factors.

Read more

November 1, 2022

SPECIAL EDITION: 2022 U.S. Midterm Elections

One week to go. The midterm elections are Tuesday, November 8th, although early voting has already begun. With so little time left and the stakes so high it is difficult to provide analysis without contradicting one or both parties' closing argument/strategy. But it seems clear two dynamics are at work.

    Read more

    September 29, 2022

    The Senate continues to inch towards final passage of a CR

    The Senate continues to inch towards final passage of a continuing resolution (CR) to keep the government open past midnight Friday.  It now looks increasingly likely that the House of Representatives will vote on Friday on final passage of the legislation.  (That is welcome news to “downtown” as there are scores of fundraisers scheduled for this evening).  Congress is poised to leave town for the midterm election push. 

    Read More

    September 28, 2022

    Sen. Joe Manchin drops his controversial permitting reform language, clears way for CR passage

    The Senate cleared the first procedural step towards passing a continuing resolution (CR) last night after Sen. Joe Manchin dropped his controversial permitting reform language.  The CR could pass the Senate as early as today, or more likely tomorrow, leaving the House with plenty of time to pass the bill before Friday’s midnight deadline.  The CR extends government funding at current levels through December 16.  

    Read More

    September 27, 2022

    Process to keep government funded starts this evening with Senate cloture vote on CR

    The Senate returns today, and the House returns tomorrow.  Funding for the government runs out on Friday at midnight and there are less than six weeks to go before the midterm elections. Congress has one main task this week – keep the government funded.  The process will start this evening in the Senate with a cloture vote on the continuing resolution (CR) that includes Sen. Joe Manchin’s permitting reform language

    Read More

    September 22, 2022

    House Republican leader McCarthy finetunes his closing argument with Election Day around the corner

    Tomorrow, outside of Pittsburgh, House Republicans will unveil their “Commitment to America”.  Ever since House Republicans unexpectedly picked up 14 seats in the 2020 elections, they have confidently been planning to win back the majority in 2022, where they need a net gain of five seats to win the majority. 

    Read More

    September 21, 2022

    Announcement of 75 basis point increase on interest rates expected from Fed at 2pm today

    The economy takes center stage today in Washington.  At 2:00 the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee will announce its decision on interest rates.  A third straight 75 basis point increase is expected.  Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will hold a press conference and provide “forward guidance” about the Fed’s inflation outlook and potential policy responses – like additional rate increases. 

    Read More

    September 20, 2022

    Biden's pandemic statement on 60 minutes causes waves for COVID funding in CR, extension of PHE

    “The Pandemic is over.”  A simple, straightforward statement.  Some would say obvious, some would say overdue.  Others would say premature, and others would label it as inaccurate.  President Biden’s statement on 60 Minutes Sunday night touched off a controversy with both policy and political ramifications.  

    Read More

    September 19, 2022

    Progress on continued resolution negotiations remains slow as September 30 deadline approaches

    The House and Senate are in session this week.  Discussions/negotiations over a continuing resolution (CR) to keep the government open past September 30th continued over the weekend, but progress remains slow.  The momentum appears to be to drop items rather than add items to ride along with the CR.  Senate Majority Leader Schumer said he supports adding $12 billion for Ukraine to the CR. 

    Read More

    September 15, 2022

    Railroad workers' union, rail carriers, and White House reach tentative agreement, avert possible, national strike

    The White House announced a tentative agreement between the railroad workers unions and the rail carriers that will avert a strike that could have occurred as early as tomorrow.  Nearly 40 percent on inland goods – including energy and food are moved by rail and it was estimated that a strike could cost the economy $2 billion a day.  

    Read More

    September 14, 2022

    White House celebrates Inflation Reduction Act amid disappointing CPI report release

    It was a calculated risk.  The White House wanted a big celebration to highlight the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act.  They chose to hold the event on the White House lawn the day the Labor Department would release the August CPI report -- inflation numbers.  They had reason for optimism.  Gas prices have dropped for 13 consecutive weeks.  Analysts expected the inflation rate to drop below 8 percent.

    Read More

    September 13, 2022

    CPI comes in at 8.3 - exceeding expectations

    The BLS CPI showed inflation at 8.3 percent year over year and excluding food and energy, the core rate is 6.3 percent.  Both numbers exceed analysts’ expectations. The House returns today to a fair amount of uncertainty over what Congress can produce over the final three weeks of session before the midterm elections.  Job one is to keep the government open past the September 30th deadline, when government funding runs out. 

    Read More

    September 12, 2022

    Inflation expected to dip below 8% as US gas and energy prices continue to fall

    The White House and congressional Democrats hope to keep their summer momentum going this week.  The White House will hold a celebration for the passage of the Inflation Reduction Act on Tuesday – right after the August report on the Consumer Price Index for August is released.  With gas and energy prices falling, economists expect to see inflation dip below 8 percent. 

    Read More

    September 8, 2022

    Congress debates COVID spending levels in Continuing Resolution

    The final phase of the pre midterm election session of the 117th Congress is rapidly drawing to a close.  There will be a lame duck session post-election, but the agenda for the lame duck will not become clear until after the November elections.  In the meantime, Congress has a few weeks to finish some must do work and potentially pass a few additional “want-to-do” items.

    Read more

    September 7, 2022

    Congress returns from August recess with continuing resolution spending bill at top of docket

    The Senate returned yesterday.  The House returns next week.  This begins the final congressional session before the increasingly competitive mid-term elections.  Congress has one “must do” item this month – pass a continuing resolution (CR) spending bill to keep the government open.  The current funding expires on September 30th.  

    Read more

    Keep informed on the Hill

    Receive expert updates on everything you need to know out of Washington - delivered to your inbox everyday Congress is in session.